Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.524588 6.946158e-01 0.889204 1.125074 1.399992 1.707228 2.073436
2025-02-16 0.240070 4.192668e-01 0.659999 0.991172 1.419664 1.941239 2.609840
2025-02-23 0.113891 2.777100e-01 0.539905 0.946853 1.522761 2.272729 3.287254
2025-03-02 0.046682 1.784303e-01 0.437969 0.893904 1.595246 2.563593 3.932785
2025-03-09 0.022637 1.382539e-01 0.412626 0.943580 1.810681 3.056338 4.869118
2025-03-16 0.007545 9.591738e-02 0.362131 0.936233 1.933899 3.424574 5.654763
2025-03-23 0.003029 8.033087e-02 0.360947 1.013182 2.193199 4.000083 6.749197
2025-03-30 0.000741 6.391207e-02 0.348488 1.063813 2.410731 4.522454 7.786863
2025-04-06 0.000038 4.762759e-02 0.325581 1.086461 2.579452 4.976217 8.739656
2025-04-13 NaN 3.028657e-02 0.283573 1.056251 2.648923 5.276622 9.476525
2025-04-20 NaN 2.100011e-02 0.262142 1.066556 2.789327 5.690887 10.389793
2025-04-27 NaN 1.437928e-02 0.244215 1.080140 2.934481 6.115873 11.328026
2025-05-04 NaN 7.023047e-03 0.205905 1.031715 2.959021 6.352366 12.001367
2025-05-11 NaN 2.859783e-03 0.172985 0.986550 2.983591 6.588392 12.680634
2025-05-18 NaN 1.262672e-03 0.156821 0.986553 3.099688 6.982008 13.612744
2025-05-25 NaN 2.863736e-04 0.133924 0.955546 3.145471 7.255329 14.363002
2025-06-01 NaN 1.680997e-04 0.137732 1.020747 3.405948 7.909776 15.726608
2025-06-08 NaN 1.645348e-05 0.125064 1.020148 3.519004 8.308287 16.692461
2025-06-15 NaN 1.031010e-05 0.133649 1.105705 3.832441 9.069634 18.249167
2025-06-22 NaN 9.625584e-07 0.134914 1.161661 4.080547 9.720172 19.638733
2025-06-29 NaN NaN 0.129185 1.186932 4.258774 10.249840 20.842929
2025-07-06 NaN NaN 0.111926 1.155507 4.300892 10.534608 21.657043
2025-07-13 NaN NaN 0.104666 1.166811 4.444864 11.007106 22.781706